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| 宁夏乡村人-地-业协调发展格局与驱动机制研究 |
| Research on the pattern and driving mechanism of coordinated development of rural human-land-industry in Ningxia, China |
| 投稿时间：2024-06-07 |
| DOI：10.13254/j.jare.2024.0403 |
| 中文关键词: 乡村系统 耦合协调度 驱动机制 宁夏回族自治区 |
| 英文关键词: rural system coupling coordination degree driving mechanism Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region |
| 基金项目:宁夏回族自治区重点研发计划项目（2023BEG01002；2021BEG02002）；中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项（AEPI）；中国农业科学院科技创新工程（CAAS-CSAERD-202403）；宁夏回族自治区农业资源保护修复与利用项目（2130135） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 乡村人口、土地和产业是乡村地域系统的关键要素，为探索典型农牧交错区乡村人-地-业系统结构及其耦合协调发展格局，本研究以宁夏回族自治区为案例区，采用耦合协调度模型与地理探测器因子分析结合的方式，深入分析乡村振兴战略背景下该地区乡村人-地-业系统的耦合协调发展模式及其驱动机制。结果表明：宁夏大多数地区人-地-业系统处于高水平耦合阶段，2010、2015、2020年的耦合度均值分别为 0.957、0.964、0.960，2010—2020年间整体变化幅度较小，但南北部耦合水平较低地区分异明显；耦合协调水平在整体上处于协调状态，绝大部分区域表现为初级协调或中度协调，2010、2015、2020年宁夏耦合协调度均值分别为0.640、0.657、0.640；乡村从业人员占比、乡村人口比例、有效灌溉面积等因子对宁夏乡村发展质量的解释力度较强。研究表明，宁夏乡村人-地-业系统耦合协调水平有待进一步提升，时空格局上形成了以宁南西海固地区、中部包兰铁路及太中铁路沿线为焦点的高值环绕带；产业对宁夏乡村发展质量的驱动力最大，土地次之；宁夏在促进农村土地集约化利用和发展多元化农业产业等方面应加强政策干预和引导，以实现人-地-业的协同发展。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Rural population, land, and industry are key elements of rural system. This study explored the structure and coordinated development of the human-land-industry system in a typical agricultural-pastoral zone using Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region as a case study. It combined a coupling coordination model with geographical detector factor analysis to deeply analyze the coupling and coordinated development model and its driving mechanisms under the rural revitalization strategy. Results showed that the human-land-industry system in the majority of regions within Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region exhibited a high level of coupling, with the mean values of the coupling degree in 2010, 2015 and 2020 recorded as 0.957, 0.964 and 0.960, with minor overall change from 2010 to 2020, but significant differenced in the lower coupling levels between the north and south. The overall coordination level was in a coordinated state, with most areas showing primary or moderate coordination. The mean values of coupling coordination in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region in 2010, 2015 and 2020 were 0.640, 0.657 and 0.640, respectively. Factors such as the proportion of rural employees, rural population ratio, and effective irrigation area strongly explained the development quality of Ningxia ′ s rural areas. The study suggests that the coupling and coordination level of Ningxia′s human-land-industry system needs further improvement, forming a high-value surrounding belt focused on the Ningnan Xihaigu area, and along the central Baolan and Taizhong railway lines. Industry has the greatest driving force for rural development quality, followed by land. Ningxia should strengthen policy intervention and guidance to promote intensive rural land use and diversified agricultural industries for coordinated development. |
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