文章摘要
中国农业绿色低碳发展的时空特征、区域差异及影响因素
Spatial and temporal characteristics,regional differences and influencing factors of green and low-carbon agricultural development in China
投稿时间:2024-06-25  
DOI:10.13254/j.jare.2024.0456
中文关键词: 绿色低碳发展  时空特征  区域差异  空间自相关  地理探测器
英文关键词: green low-carbon development  spatio-temporal characteristic  regional difference  spatial autocorrelation  geodetector
基金项目:中央农办农业农村部乡村振兴专家咨询委员会软科学课题(0123011);黑龙江省哲学社会科学规划项目(19JYB023);黑龙江省自然科学基金项目(LH2023G014);2022年度黑龙江省经济社会发展重点研究课题(22320)
作者单位E-mail
刘桉志 黑龙江八一农垦大学经济管理学院, 黑龙江 大庆 163319  
杨树果 黑龙江八一农垦大学经济管理学院, 黑龙江 大庆 163319 rhwysg@163.com 
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中文摘要:
      本研究通过分析我国农业绿色低碳发展的时空变化,旨在为制定地区发展策略和推动农业绿色低碳转型提供依据。基于农业绿色低碳发展内涵,从“降碳、减污、扩绿、增长”四个维度构建指标体系,运用CRITIC-熵权组合赋权法、莫兰指数、核密度估计和Dagum基尼系数分析2011—2020年我国农业绿色低碳发展水平、时空特征及区域差异,并运用地理探测器模型分析影响因素。结果表明:我国农业绿色低碳发展水平逐年提高,平均增长率为2.31%,但区域差异明显,东北地区整体水平最高。分维度看,农业减污发展水平最高,农业增长速度最快;农业绿色低碳发展空间上呈显著正相关,区域差距不断扩大,超变密度和区域间差异为主要差异来源;农业绿色低碳发展受财政支农、农业生产效率和种植结构调整等多因素共同影响。研究表明,当前全国多数省份农业绿色低碳发展处于较低水平,区域差异较大,各地区应采取因地制宜的政策措施,推动农业绿色低碳转型。
英文摘要:
      Analysing the spatial and temporal changes in China's agricultural green and low-carbon development provides a basis for formulating regional development strategies and promoting agricultural green and low-carbon transformation. Based on the connotation of agricultural green and low carbon development, we constructed the indicator system from four dimensions of“carbon reduction, pollution reduction, green expansion and growth”. China′s agricultural green and low-carbon development level, spatial and temporal characteristics and regional differences from 2011 to 2020 were analysed by CRITIC-entropy combination empowerment method, Moran index, kernel density estimation and Dagum Gini coefficient, and the influencing factors were analyzed by geodetector model. The results showed that the level of green and low-carbon development of agriculture in China had been increasing year by year, with an average growth rate of 2.31%, but regional differences were obvious, with the highest overall level in the north-east. In terms of dimensions, the level of agricultural pollution reduction development was the highest, and the growth rate of agriculture was the fastest; the spatial green and low-carbon development of agriculture was significantly positively correlated, the regional gap was expanding, and the hypervariable density and interregional differences were the main sources of differences; the green and low-carbon development of agriculture was affected by many factors, such as financial support to agriculture, the efficiency of agricultural production, and planting structure adjustments. At present, the green and low-carbon development of agriculture in most provinces of China is at a low level, with large regional differences, and each region should adopt locally adapted policies and measures to promote the green and low-carbon transformation of agriculture.
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