文章摘要
2000—2021年新疆牧区生产-生活-生态功能耦合协调效应及障碍因素诊断
Diagnosis of coupling, coordination and obstacles of production-living-ecological functions of the Xinjiang pastoral area from 2000 to 2021
投稿时间:2024-10-26  
DOI:10.13254/j.jare.2024.0846
中文关键词: 新疆  生产-生活-生态  “三生”功能  牧区  耦合协调  障碍度
英文关键词: Xinjiang  production-living-ecological  three-life functions  pastoral area  coupling and coordination  obstacle degree
基金项目:新疆维吾尔自治区社科基金青年项目(22CYJ010);教育部人文社科基金青年项目(22YJC790063);新疆农业大学教学成果奖培育项目(2024JXCG021)
作者单位E-mail
赵兰兰 新疆农业大学经济管理学院, 乌鲁木齐 830052  
夏咏 新疆农业大学经济管理学院, 乌鲁木齐 830052  
李先东 新疆农业大学经济管理学院, 乌鲁木齐 830052
新疆农业大学干旱区生态经济与畜牧业高质量发展中心, 乌鲁木齐 830052 
xjxiandong@xjau.edu.cn 
井长青 新疆农业大学草业学院, 乌鲁木齐 830052  
吕毅 新疆农业大学经济管理学院, 乌鲁木齐 830052  
谢宜飞 新疆农业大学经济管理学院, 乌鲁木齐 830052  
王福红 新疆农业大学经济管理学院, 乌鲁木齐 830052
兰州财经大学农林经济管理学院, 兰州 730101 
 
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中文摘要:
      系统诊断牧区生产-生活-生态(三生)功能演变规律及其之间相互关系,是高效推进牧区高质量发展、全面实现乡村振兴的关键。本研究构建牧区“三生”功能评价指标体系,运用熵值法、耦合协调度和障碍度模型,识别新疆牧区2000—2021年“三生”功能耦合协调关系的时空演化特征及障碍因子。结果表明:新疆牧区“三生”功能呈波动上升趋势,但依旧处于较低水平,且各年变化波动较小;空间分布格局差异显著且较不均衡,呈现出北高南低的发展态势,北部优于南部,半农半牧区优于纯牧区;新疆牧区“三生”功能耦合协调度由2000年的0.41上升至2021年的0.48,呈阶梯式平稳增长趋势,但协调度整体较低且发展速度相对缓慢,始终处于低水平基本协调阶段,半农半牧区各年耦合协调度均超过纯牧区,发展动力强劲;新疆牧区“三生”功能耦合协调度空间分布差异性显著,仍以轻度失调和低水平基本协调为主体;失调区较多分布在新疆南部,基本协调区和良好协调区较多分布在新疆北部,纯牧区与半农半牧区之间耦合协调水平差异明显。研究表明年平均降水、草地退化面积、农牧从业人员比例、财富存量指数、草地承载能力和肉类供给能力对新疆牧区“三生”功能耦合协调发展过程起着重要的作用,也是导致耦合协调水平较低的主要原因。研究建议应根据地区禀赋和基础差异,因地制宜选择牧区发展模式,科学定位生产布局,加强生态环境保护,兼顾自然效益和社会效益。
英文摘要:
      Systematically diagnosing the evolution patterns of production-living-ecological(PLE)functions and their interrelationships in pastoral areas is crucial for promoting high-quality development and advancing comprehensive rural revitalization. This study constructed an evaluation index system for PLE functions in Xinjiang's pastoral areas and applied the entropy method, the coupling coordination degree model, and the obstacle degree model to identify the spatiotemporal evolution of PLE coupling-coordination relationships and their key obstacle factors from 2000 to 2021. The results showed that the overall level of PLE functions in Xinjiang's pastoral areas exhibited a fluctuating upward trend but remained relatively low, with limited interannual variation. The spatial pattern was markedly uneven, displaying a higher in the north, lower in the south development gradient: northern Xinjiang outperformed southern Xinjiang, and agropastoral zones outperformed purely pastoral zones. The coupling coordination degree increased from 0.41 in 2000 to 0.48 in 2021, showing a stepwise and steady rise; however, the overall coordination level remained low and improved slowly, staying within the stage of low-level basic coordination. Across all years, agro-pastoral zones consistently achieved higher coupling coordination than purely pastoral zones, indicating stronger development. Significant spatial disparities persisted in coupling coordination, with mild disorder and low-level basic coordination dominating; disorder zones were mainly concentrated in southern Xinjiang, while basic and good coordination zones were more common in northern Xinjiang. The coordination gap between purely pastoral and agro-pastoral zones was evident. Key factors influencing the coupling - coordination process included annual average precipitation, grassland degradation area, proportionof employment in agriculture and animal husbandry, wealth stock index, grassland carrying capacity, and beaf supply capacity; these factors also constituted the primary constraints leading to the relatively low coordination level. Accordingly, policy should tailor development pathways to local endowments and baseline conditions, optimize the spatial layout of production, prioritize ecological protection, and balance natural and socio-economic benefits.
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