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| 农户视角下西南典型丘陵地区耕地非粮化种植意愿影响因素及对策 |
| Influencing factors and countermeasures for the willingness of non-grain planting of cultivated land from the perspective of farmers in typical hilly region of southwest China |
| 投稿时间：2025-01-15 |
| DOI：10.13254/j.jare.2025.0043 |
| 中文关键词: 耕地利用 非粮化 农户 二元Logistic模型 西南丘陵地区 |
| 英文关键词: use of arable land non-grain farmer binary Logistic model southwestern hilly region |
| 基金项目:教育部人文社科基金项目（15YJC630005）；重庆市科技项目（KJ-2020002） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 本研究以重庆市长寿区为例，基于289份农户调查问卷数据和统计年鉴数据，采用频率分析法和二元Logistic回归模型，探讨西南典型丘陵地区农户非粮种植的影响因素及治理策略。研究发现，77.5%的农户粮食种植年均收入低于1万元，粮食种植对家庭总收入的贡献有限，主要用于自给，外售比例较小。尽管农户享有种粮补贴政策，但其激励效果有限，未能有效提升农户的种粮积极性。模型分析表明，纯农业劳动人口、粮食收入占比、种粮补贴政策和种粮补贴效果四个因素显著影响长寿区农户的非粮化意愿。基于研究结果，提出了提高收益、增强粮食种植的经济吸引力，强化职能、促进激励政策落地，转变理念、吸引青壮劳力回流的对策，以提高农户种粮意愿，确保农业可持续发展和保障粮食安全。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| This study taking Chongqing's Changshou District as a case, explored the factors influencing non-grain planting among farmers in the southwestern hilly region and proposed governance strategies. Based on an analysis of 289 field survey questionnaires and statistical yearbook data, frequency analysis and binary Logistic regression models were used. The results indicated that 77.5% of farmers had an annual income from grain planting of less than 10 000 yuan, revealing that the contribution of grain planting to total household income was limited, primarily for self-sufficiency with a small proportion sold externally. Although farmers benefited from grain planting subsidy policies, the incentive effect was found to be limited, failing to effectively enhance farmers ′ enthusiasm for grain cultivation. Model analysis showed that the population of purely agricultural laborers, the proportion of income from grain, the grain planting subsidy policy, and the effectiveness of the grain planting subsidies significantly influenced the willingness of farmers in Changshou District to shift towards nongrain cultivation. Based on the research findings, recommendations are proposed to increase profitability and enhance the economic attractiveness of grain planting; strengthening functions to ensure the effective implementation of incentive policies and transform perceptions to attract young and middle-aged labor back to farming, with the aim of enhancing farmers ′ willingness to cultivate grain, ensuring sustainable agricultural development, and safeguarding food security. |
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